Let’s Talk about Race and Bayes: How a British Statistician Helps Explain Racial Dialogue in America

Watching The People vs. O.J. Simpson, it’s hard not to be struck by the radically different views held by white and black Americans about the trial. But in twenty years, not that much has changed: when race is part of a national storyline, different people see different things. Why? Continue reading

Looking for Hope in the Age of Trump

It has come to this: supposedly serious people have tried to find solace in the naked absurdity of what Mr. Trump is saying, reasoning that at the very least he couldn’t possibly sincerely mean it. Thus, in a contest for the most powerful office in the world, the thought that what the winner might do is a total mystery has become the optimistic telling. Continue reading